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Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Jannik Sinner Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Carreno-Busta vs Sinner analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Jannik Sinner Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Carreno-Busta 2 - 1 Sinner

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Carreno-Busta has won 32.65% of points on his second serve, while Sinner has won 58.49%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Carreno-Busta, in recent form, has won 50% of his opponent's second serve points, while Sinner has won 54.98%. The same stats for first serve returns are 35.06% and 33.92% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Carreno-Busta has saved 50% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Sinner has saved 80% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Carreno-Busta has won 25% of matches played (W/L 1/ 3), with Sinner winning 86.49% (W/L 64/ 10) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Carreno-Busta has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 339/ 169), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 32% (W/L 6/ 13). Sinner has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 79% (W/L 88/ 24), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 58% (W/L 14/ 10).
  • Player level: In the last year, Carreno-Busta has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 33.33% of matches (W/L 1/ 2), where as Sinner has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 85.19% of matches (W/L 23/ 4). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Carreno-Busta winning 2 times. They have played 8 sets in total, with Carreno-Busta winning 5 and Sinner winning 3. The last match between Carreno-Busta and Sinner was at the National Bank Open - Montreal, 11-08-2022, Third, Hard with Pablo Carreno-Busta getting the victory 6-2 6-4.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:26:53.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Carreno-Busta and Sinner have played a deciding set 2 times, with Carreno-Busta winning 1 times and Sinner 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Carreno-Busta winning 1, and Sinner 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Carreno-Busta has played against opponents with an average rank of 389.5 while Sinner has played against players with an average rank of 81.5.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Carreno-Busta has won 100% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Sinner has won 77% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Carreno-Busta has converted 35.71% of breakpoint opportunities, and Sinner has converted 45.34% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
bet365
Pablo Carreno-Busta

30

Total

1

Mast

11

Chall

0

Slam

6

Main

12

Minor

605

Rank

10

High

32

Age

R

Plays

2

Total

1

1

Hard

1

0

Clay

0

1

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

2

Rank

2

High

22

Age

R

Plays

Jannik Sinner

18

Total

2

Mast

3

Chall

1

Slam

10

Main

2

Minor

2

Total

1

1

Hard

1

0

Clay

0

1

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

L L L W L L L W L L

Form

W W W W W L W W W W

64% (560-316)

Career Total W/L

72% (300-119)

0% (0-1)

YTD W/L

94% (29-2)

$9,946,935

Career Prize Money

$14,879,015

0

YTD Titles

3

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Carreno-Busta VS Sinner H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Pablo Carreno-Busta Jannik Sinner
All H2H Matches 2 1
Sets Won 5 3
Games Won 46 42
Aces (Total) 10 29
DFs (Total) 4 4
Avg Match Time 2:26:53 2:26:53
1st Serve % 65% (172/263) 59% (180/307)
1st Serve Win% 71% (122/172) 73% (132/180)
2nd Serve Win% 55% (50/91) 47% (60/127)
BPs Won% (Total) 31% (9/29) 33% (7/21)
Return Points W% 37% (115/307) 35% (91/263)
Best of 3 Sets W% 67% (2/3) 33% (1/3)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Deciding Set Win% 50% (1/2) 50% (1/2)
1st set W, W 67% (3/2) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, L 33% (3/1) 0% (0/0)
1st set L, W 0% (0/0) 33% (3/1)

Carreno-Busta VS Sinner H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-2 6-4
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Jannik Sinner
65% ( 32 of 49)
1st Serve %
50% ( 27 of 54)
1
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
2
78% ( 25 of 32)
1st Serve Won
78% ( 21 of 27)
71% ( 12 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 12 of 27)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
24% ( 12 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 21 of 54)
58
Total Points Won
45
5-7 7-5 7-5
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
61% ( 85 of 140)
1st Serve %
63% ( 59 of 94)
15
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
1
67% ( 57 of 85)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 40 of 59)
49% ( 27 of 55)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 17 of 35)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
24% ( 4 of 17)
40% ( 56 of 140)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 37 of 94)
121
Total Points Won
113
7-5 3-6 7-6(6)
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Jannik Sinner
68% ( 81 of 120)
1st Serve %
60% ( 68 of 113)
6
Aces
9
2
Double Faults
1
70% ( 57 of 81)
1st Serve Won
79% ( 54 of 68)
54% ( 21 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 21 of 45)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
14% ( 2 of 14)
35% ( 42 of 120)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 38 of 113)
116
Total Points Won
117

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Pablo Carreno-Busta Jannik Sinner
YTD W/L 0% (0/1) 94% (29/2)
Sets Win/Loss 25% (1/3) 86% (67/11)
Games Win/Loss 32% (11/23) 63% (455/270)
Hard Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 94% (17/1)
Clay Win/Loss 0% (0/1) 88% (7/1)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 100% (5/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0 0.45
Aces Total 0 160
DFs per game 0.29 0.14
DFs Total 5 50
Avg Match Time 1st Match 1:53:23
Avg Opp Rank 560 94.94
1st Serve % 62% (79/128) 62% (1331/2150)
1st Serve W% 53% (42/79) 79% (1057/1331)
2nd Serve W% 33% (16/49) 58% (479/819)
BPs Won% Total 36% (5/14) 45% (112/247)
Return Pts W% 40% (44/111) 42% (968/2324)
Slam W/L 0% (0/1) 100% (8/0)
Masters W/L 0% (0/0) 89% (16/2)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 0% (0/0) 100% (5/0)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 91% (20/22)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/1) 100% (8/8)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 60% (3/5)
Deciding Set W% 0% (0/0) 71% (5/7)
1st set W, W 0% (1/0) 96% (27/26)
1st set W, L 100% (1/1) 4% (27/1)
1st set L, W 0% (0/0) 75% (4/3)

Pablo Carreno-Busta Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R1
cross
Mariano Navone
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
69% ( 77 of 111)
1st Serve %
62% ( 79 of 128)
6
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
5
65% ( 50 of 77)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 42 of 79)
50% ( 17 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 16 of 49)
50% ( 11 of 22)
Break Points Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
40% ( 44 of 111)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 70 of 128)
137
Total Points Won
102
L
5-7 6-1 6-3 6-0 H2H
R2
cross
Mattia Bellucci
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
64% ( 45 of 70)
1st Serve %
75% ( 47 of 63)
4
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
76% ( 34 of 45)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 30 of 47)
72% ( 18 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
63% ( 10 of 16)
50% ( 1 of 2)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
26% ( 18 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 23 of 63)
75
Total Points Won
58
L
6-3 7-6(0) H2H
R1
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Arthur Cazaux
70% ( 74 of 105)
1st Serve %
60% ( 44 of 73)
2
Aces
12
5
Double Faults
1
68% ( 50 of 74)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 34 of 44)
32% ( 10 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 12 of 29)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
43% ( 45 of 105)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 27 of 73)
87
Total Points Won
91
W
2-6 6-4 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Pedro Martinez Portero
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
69% ( 64 of 93)
1st Serve %
70% ( 43 of 61)
3
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
1
75% ( 48 of 64)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 31 of 43)
48% ( 14 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 9 of 18)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 13)
33% ( 31 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 21 of 61)
83
Total Points Won
71
L
6-3 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Richard Gasquet
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
58% ( 49 of 84)
1st Serve %
62% ( 62 of 100)
13
Aces
10
2
Double Faults
5
73% ( 36 of 49)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 43 of 62)
49% ( 17 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 18 of 38)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
37% ( 31 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 39 of 100)
92
Total Points Won
92
L
2-6 7-6(2) 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Benjamin Bonzi
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
66% ( 117 of 176)
1st Serve %
65% ( 122 of 187)
15
Aces
12
2
Double Faults
2
76% ( 89 of 117)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 87 of 122)
56% ( 33 of 59)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 34 of 65)
19% ( 4 of 21)
Break Points Won
17% ( 3 of 18)
31% ( 54 of 176)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 66 of 187)
188
Total Points Won
175
L
4-6 4-6 7-6(5) 6-1 7-6(4) H2H
R1
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Pedro Cachin
63% ( 59 of 93)
1st Serve %
61% ( 59 of 97)
15
Aces
12
3
Double Faults
1
90% ( 53 of 59)
1st Serve Won
81% ( 48 of 59)
65% ( 22 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 18 of 38)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
19% ( 18 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 31 of 97)
106
Total Points Won
84
W
7-6(4) 6-1 7-6(3) H2H
R2
cross
Soon-Woo Kwon
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
65% ( 57 of 88)
1st Serve %
61% ( 65 of 107)
11
Aces
10
3
Double Faults
6
77% ( 44 of 57)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 44 of 65)
52% ( 16 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 22 of 42)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
32% ( 28 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 41 of 107)
101
Total Points Won
94
L
3-6 6-4 6-4 H2H
Rubber 2
L
5-7 6-3 7-6(5) H2H
R3
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
67% ( 38 of 57)
1st Serve %
81% ( 52 of 64)
4
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
0
76% ( 29 of 38)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 34 of 52)
68% ( 13 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
25% ( 3 of 12)
25% ( 3 of 12)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
26% ( 15 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 27 of 64)
69
Total Points Won
52
L
6-4 6-4 H2H

Jannik Sinner Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R1
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Christopher Eubanks
61% ( 54 of 89)
1st Serve %
59% ( 55 of 93)
6
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
9
78% ( 42 of 54)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 35 of 55)
51% ( 18 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 14 of 38)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
10% ( 1 of 10)
33% ( 29 of 89)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 44 of 93)
104
Total Points Won
78
W
6-3 6-3 6-4 H2H
QF
L
w/o H2H
R4
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Karen Khachanov
69% ( 59 of 85)
1st Serve %
69% ( 58 of 84)
5
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
0
80% ( 47 of 59)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 39 of 58)
54% ( 14 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
65% ( 17 of 26)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
28% ( 24 of 85)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 28 of 84)
89
Total Points Won
80
W
5-7 6-3 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Pavel Kotov
67% ( 38 of 57)
1st Serve %
56% ( 34 of 61)
3
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
3
71% ( 27 of 38)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 18 of 34)
47% ( 9 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 13 of 27)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
37% ( 21 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 30 of 61)
66
Total Points Won
52
W
6-2 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Lorenzo Sonego
69% ( 29 of 42)
1st Serve %
59% ( 26 of 44)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
86% ( 25 of 29)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 14 of 26)
62% ( 8 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 7 of 18)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
21% ( 9 of 42)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 23 of 44)
56
Total Points Won
30
W
6-0 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Jannik Sinner
60% ( 50 of 84)
1st Serve %
58% ( 59 of 102)
7
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
2
70% ( 35 of 50)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 44 of 59)
62% ( 21 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 20 of 43)
20% ( 3 of 15)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
33% ( 28 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 38 of 102)
94
Total Points Won
92
L
6-4 3-6 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Holger Rune
59% ( 53 of 90)
1st Serve %
53% ( 50 of 95)
5
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
5
87% ( 46 of 53)
1st Serve Won
82% ( 41 of 50)
68% ( 25 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 22 of 45)
25% ( 2 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
21% ( 19 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 32 of 95)
103
Total Points Won
82
W
6-4 6-7(6) 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Jan-Lennard Struff
57% ( 26 of 46)
1st Serve %
44% ( 28 of 63)
3
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
4
85% ( 22 of 26)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 17 of 28)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 16 of 35)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
24% ( 11 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 30 of 63)
65
Total Points Won
44
W
6-4 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Sebastian Korda
49% ( 21 of 43)
1st Serve %
52% ( 32 of 62)
2
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
95% ( 20 of 21)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 16 of 32)
55% ( 12 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 13 of 30)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
26% ( 11 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 33 of 62)
65
Total Points Won
40
W
6-1 6-2 H2H
F
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
56% ( 24 of 43)
1st Serve %
64% ( 32 of 50)
4
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
1
88% ( 21 of 24)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 19 of 32)
63% ( 12 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 9 of 18)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
23% ( 10 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 22 of 50)
55
Total Points Won
38
W
6-3 6-1 H2H

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